SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Lech Poznan win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lech Poznan |
62.19% ( 0.2) | 20.9% ( -0.04) | 16.91% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% ( -0.12) | 43.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% ( -0.11) | 65.8% ( 0.12) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.6% ( 0.02) | 13.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.67% ( 0.04) | 40.32% ( -0.04) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% ( -0.26) | 39% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.28% ( -0.25) | 75.72% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 62.18% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.91% |
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