SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
65.74% ( -0.47) | 20.59% ( 0.31) | 13.67% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.16% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( -0.97) | 48.31% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.89) | 70.45% ( 0.89) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( -0.44) | 13.87% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.73% ( -0.88) | 41.27% ( 0.88) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.59% ( -0.35) | 46.4% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.97% ( -0.27) | 82.03% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 65.73% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.59% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.67% |
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