SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Gremio |
63.83% ( -0.85) | 20.74% ( 0.47) | 15.43% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( -1.33) | 45.43% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.24% ( -1.28) | 67.76% ( 1.29) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% ( -0.66) | 13.54% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.39% ( -1.34) | 40.61% ( 1.34) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.88% ( -0.31) | 42.12% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.47% ( -0.26) | 78.54% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.83% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.74% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.43% |
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