Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
0.19) 
-0.33) 
