Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 43%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.14) 
