SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Goias |
62.15% ( 1.68) | 21.25% ( -0.77) | 16.6% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( 1.72) | 45.46% ( -1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( 1.62) | 67.79% ( -1.63) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( 1.1) | 14.06% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.35% ( 2.11) | 41.65% ( -2.12) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% ( -0.1) | 40.61% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% ( -0.09) | 77.21% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Goias |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.14% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.24% | 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.6% |
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