Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Goias
62.15% ( 1.68)	21.25% ( -0.77)	16.6% ( -0.92)

Both teams to score 51.03% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

1.72)

45.46% (

-1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2% (

1.62)

67.79% (

-1.63)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94% (

1.1)

14.06% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.35% (

2.11)

41.65% (

-2.12)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.38% (

-0.1)

40.61% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.79% (

-0.09)

77.21% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 62.14%

Goias 16.6%

Draw 21.24%

Fortaleza	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.14%	1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.24%	0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.6%