SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
46.04% ( -0.06) | 23.79% ( 0.04) | 30.17% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.92% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.17) | 41.93% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% ( -0.18) | 64.33% ( 0.18) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% ( -0.09) | 18.44% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.38% ( -0.16) | 49.62% ( 0.16) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.07) | 26.53% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( -0.1) | 61.73% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.17% |
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