SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
44.13% ( 0.46) | 23.26% ( 0.06) | 32.6% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 63.09% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.71% ( -0.51) | 38.29% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.43% ( -0.54) | 60.57% ( 0.54) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( -0.02) | 17.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.53% ( -0.03) | 48.46% ( 0.03) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( -0.54) | 23.27% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.79% ( -0.79) | 57.2% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.89% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.6% |
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