Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.