Having lost just once at home in the league this season, Getafe will fancy their chances of causing Real Madrid a problem or two.
While we think that Getafe may run Real Madrid close, we think the visitors will have enough quality to claim maximum points in Thursday's encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-0.62) 
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