SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 29.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
41.5% ( 0.54) | 29.29% ( -0.05) | 29.21% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 42.76% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.23% ( 0.02) | 63.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.98% ( 0.01) | 83.02% ( -0.01) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( 0.32) | 30.32% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( 0.38) | 66.5% ( -0.38) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.37% ( -0.38) | 38.63% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.62% ( -0.36) | 75.38% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 13.97% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.35% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.57% Total : 29.2% |
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