Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
48.6% ( -0.09)	24.18% ( -0.01)	27.22% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 56.48% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48% (

0.12)

45.52% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

0.12)

67.85% (

-0.12)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

0.01)

18.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75% (

0.02)

50.25% (

-0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

0.14)

30.42% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.37% (

0.17)

66.62% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 48.6%

Toluca 27.22%

Draw 24.17%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 48.6%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.22%