Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 22, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 1
Nigeria

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sangante (36' og.)
Ajayi (44'), Onyeka (50'), Bassey (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Eq Guinea 4-2 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, January 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	2	2	4
2	Nigeria	2	1	4
3	Ivory Coast	2	1	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	2	-4	0

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-1 Nigeria
Thursday, January 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	2	2	4
2	Nigeria	2	1	4
3	Ivory Coast	2	1	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	2	-4	0

We said: Guinea-Bissau 0-2 Nigeria

Peseiro's men should avoid complacency after beating the tournament hosts to secure a routine victory over Guinea-Bissau to end atop Group A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
23.52% ( -2.38)	25.99% ( -0.97)	50.48% ( 3.35)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.28% (

1.78)

55.72% (

-1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14% (

1.43)

76.86% (

-1.43)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.93% (

-1.17)

39.07% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.21% (

-1.11)

75.79% (

1.11)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

2.29)

22.13% (

-2.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.49% (

3.34)

55.51% (

-3.34)

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 23.52%

Nigeria 50.48%

Draw 25.99%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.86) 2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.52%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.48%