SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Mozambique |
66.97% ( -0.37) | 20.54% ( 0.04) | 12.49% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 43.14% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( 0.57) | 50.61% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% ( 0.5) | 72.52% ( -0.51) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( 0.07) | 14.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.04% ( 0.13) | 41.96% ( -0.14) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.29% ( 0.91) | 49.71% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.54% ( 0.63) | 84.45% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea | Draw | Mozambique |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.25)2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.24% Total : 66.96% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.54% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.45% Total : 12.49% |
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