SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for York City had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
48.8% ( -0.1) | 24.91% ( 0.02) | 26.29% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( -0.04) | 49.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( -0.03) | 71.39% ( 0.03) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( -0.06) | 20.25% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.41% ( -0.09) | 52.59% ( 0.09) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( 0.04) | 33.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% ( 0.05) | 69.76% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.29% |
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