SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg |
37.34% ( 0.09) | 24.35% ( 0) | 38.3% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.13% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( -0.01) | 42.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( -0.01) | 65% ( 0.01) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.04) | 22.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( 0.06) | 56.35% ( -0.06) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0.05) | 22.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.37% ( -0.08) | 55.62% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.3% |
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