SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
31.02% ( 0.02) | 23.42% ( 0.02) | 45.56% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.26% ( -0.08) | 39.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.9% ( -0.08) | 62.09% ( 0.08) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( -0.03) | 24.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( -0.03) | 59.53% ( 0.03) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( -0.05) | 17.77% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.53% ( -0.08) | 48.47% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 45.56% |
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