SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
31.49% ( 0.13) | 23.82% ( 0.01) | 44.69% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( -0.01) | 41.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( -0.01) | 63.8% ( 0.01) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( 0.08) | 25.44% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% ( 0.11) | 60.26% ( -0.1) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( -0.06) | 18.79% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.79% ( -0.11) | 50.2% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.49% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 44.69% |
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