SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
40.33% ( -1.54) | 25.93% ( -0.09) | 33.74% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( 0.78) | 50.21% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( 0.69) | 72.17% ( -0.69) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( -0.44) | 24.56% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% ( -0.63) | 59.05% ( 0.63) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( 1.44) | 28.32% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.95% ( 1.78) | 64.05% ( -1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.74% |
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