SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Henan had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Henan win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
19.99% ( -0.04) | 22.41% | 57.59% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( -0.05) | 45.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( -0.05) | 67.56% ( 0.05) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.38% ( -0.07) | 36.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.6% ( -0.07) | 73.4% ( 0.07) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.56% ( -0.01) | 15.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.73% ( -0.01) | 44.27% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.87% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 57.59% |
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