SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
36.54% ( -0.79) | 27.49% ( 0.67) | 35.97% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.36% ( -2.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% ( -2.68) | 56.32% ( 2.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( -2.21) | 77.35% ( 2.21) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( -1.77) | 29.57% ( 1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( -2.21) | 65.6% ( 2.21) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( -1.24) | 29.92% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( -1.52) | 66.02% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.54% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.87)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.96% |
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