Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.22%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
-0.44) 
0.61) 
