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Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Polman Stadion
FU

Heracles
1 - 3
Utrecht

Nankishi (62')
Limbombe (25'), Willems (60'), Vejinovic (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Romeny (5'), Jensen (45+6'), Bakboord (90+4' og.)
Bozdogan (34'), Fraulo (58'), Barkas (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, September 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-0 FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht will be hoping for a new manager bounce after the recent appointment of Jans, but it may take time for the former Twente boss to turn around the form of his struggling side. As such, we expect the visitors to continue their impressive form at Erve Asito, making it three wins on the bounce on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawFC Utrecht
49.98% (-0.195 -0.2) 23.18% (-0.124 -0.12) 26.84% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.735 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (0.83900000000001 0.84)41.29% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (0.84699999999999 0.85)63.69% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (0.241 0.24)16.68% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.45% (0.43 0.43)46.55% (-0.43 -0.43)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.67700000000001 0.68)28.5% (-0.677 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (0.842 0.84)64.27% (-0.842 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 49.98%
    FC Utrecht 26.84%
    Draw 23.17%
HeraclesDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.096 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.075 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 26.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Heracles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Nijmegen
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heracles
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-0 Jong Ajax
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-3 Heracles
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-3 Heracles
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, September 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, August 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Utrecht
Saturday, August 12 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Utrecht (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, June 4 at 5pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 Sparta
Thursday, June 1 at 8pm in Eredivisie


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