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Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Erve Asito
NB

Heracles
2 - 0
NAC Breda

De Keersmaecker (39' pen., 63')
Roosken (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Greiml (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 5-0 Heracles
Sunday, October 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-1 NAC Breda

Breda's largely underwhelming form on the road so far means a victory this weekend could just be a tad out of reach.   Nonetheless, we are tipping them to come away with a share of the spoils from what should be a keenly contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawNAC Breda
39.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 36.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.56% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58% (0.012999999999998 0.01)41.99% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6% (0.012999999999998 0.01)64.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (0.012 0.01)21.26% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (0.022000000000006 0.02)54.17% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 39.7%
    NAC Breda 36.08%
    Draw 24.2%
HeraclesDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Twente 5-0 Heracles
Sunday, October 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 3-4 Ajax
Sunday, October 20 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 Heracles
Sunday, October 6 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Heerenveen
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, October 20 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 NAC Breda
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 NAC Breda
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Sittard
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie


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