Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Banbury United win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Banbury United |
48.79% ( 0.57) | 26.71% ( -0.24) | 24.5% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 46.41% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.44% ( 0.6) | 57.56% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.66% ( 0.47) | 78.34% ( -0.47) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.33% ( 0.53) | 23.67% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.22% ( 0.75) | 57.78% ( -0.76) |
Banbury United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.8% ( 0.02) | 39.2% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.09% ( 0.03) | 75.91% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United | Draw | Banbury United |
1-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.78% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.5% |
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