Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Gloucester City |
66.56% ( -0.11) | 19.92% ( 0.05) | 13.52% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.86% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.2% ( -0.07) | 45.8% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.88% ( -0.06) | 68.11% ( 0.06) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.14% ( -0.05) | 12.85% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.78% ( -0.11) | 39.22% ( 0.11) |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.92% ( 0.05) | 45.07% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.01% ( 0.04) | 80.99% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United | Draw | Gloucester City |
2-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.92% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 13.52% |
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