SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 0-2 (4.92%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hamburger SV |
32.82% ( -0.35) | 21.21% ( -0.02) | 45.97% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 71.14% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.15% ( -0.04) | 27.86% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.44% ( -0.05) | 48.57% ( 0.06) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( -0.19) | 18.19% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.82% ( -0.33) | 49.19% ( 0.33) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( 0.11) | 13.05% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.38% ( 0.21) | 39.63% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 45.97% |
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