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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
30.11% ( 0.09) | 25.4% ( -0) | 44.49% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% ( 0.05) | 49.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( 0.05) | 71.19% ( -0.05) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% ( 0.09) | 30.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.67% ( 0.1) | 66.33% ( -0.11) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( -0.02) | 22.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% ( -0.03) | 55.39% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.11% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.48% |
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