SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.32% ( -0.79) | 25.08% ( 0.33) | 22.6% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( -0.84) | 53.14% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( -0.72) | 74.71% ( 0.72) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( -0.65) | 20.3% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.32% ( -1.05) | 52.67% ( 1.04) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( -0.04) | 38.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.03) | 75.25% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.63% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.6% |
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