Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
Result | ||
IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
17.38% ( -0.3) | 21.76% ( -0.1) | 60.86% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.66% ( -0.09) | 46.34% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% ( -0.08) | 68.63% ( 0.08) |
IFK Mariehamn Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.81% ( -0.41) | 40.19% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.17% ( -0.37) | 76.82% ( 0.37) |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% ( 0.09) | 14.75% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.01% ( 0.18) | 42.98% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 17.38% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.85% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.93% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.85% |
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