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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | KuPS |
31.37% ( -0.02) | 26.72% ( 0.22) | 41.91% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% ( -0.87) | 54.05% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% ( -0.74) | 75.48% ( 0.74) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( -0.46) | 31.81% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( -0.53) | 68.25% ( 0.53) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( -0.49) | 25.47% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% ( -0.68) | 60.31% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.37% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.91% |
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