SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
47.67% ( 0.01) | 23.43% ( -0.02) | 28.9% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.36% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.01% ( 0.11) | 40.99% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.62% ( 0.11) | 63.38% ( -0.1) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( 0.05) | 17.43% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.11% ( 0.07) | 47.89% ( -0.07) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( 0.07) | 26.9% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( 0.09) | 62.22% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.9% |
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