SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Rosario Central |
48.98% ( 0.16) | 29.23% ( -0.14) | 21.79% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 37.79% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.78% ( 0.38) | 67.22% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.59% ( 0.25) | 85.41% ( -0.25) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( 0.27) | 28.02% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% ( 0.34) | 63.66% ( -0.34) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.49% ( 0.21) | 47.51% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.13% ( 0.15) | 82.87% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.93% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 48.97% | 0-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.18) 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.33% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 21.79% |
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