SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Iraq |
21.7% ( 2.59) | 25.5% ( 1.15) | 52.8% ( -3.73) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.43% ( -1.39) | 55.57% ( 1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% ( -1.14) | 76.74% ( 1.15) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.22% ( 1.99) | 40.78% ( -1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.64% ( 1.74) | 77.36% ( -1.73) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -2.03) | 21.08% ( 2.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( -3.26) | 53.9% ( 3.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Iraq |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.51)2-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.7% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( -0.78)1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.78)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.41)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.46)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.29)Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.79% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
