Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
1.87) 
-0.6) 
