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Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Folad Shahr Stadium
KN
Kyrgyzstan national football team

Iran
1 - 0
Kyrgyzstan

Taremi (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Oman 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iran 3-1 Kyrgyzstan

Iran have won 16 of their last 20 home matches in World Cup qualifying, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to begin the third stage with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
IranDrawKyrgyzstan
65.27% (1.795 1.79) 20.13% (-0.644 -0.64) 14.6% (-1.15 -1.15)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (0.542 0.54)44.41% (-0.541 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (0.521 0.52)66.78% (-0.52 -0.52)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (0.696 0.7)12.8% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (1.407 1.41)39.12% (-1.406 -1.41)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (-1.232 -1.23)42.63% (1.233 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (-1.069 -1.07)78.98% (1.07 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Iran 65.26%
    Kyrgyzstan 14.6%
    Draw 20.13%
IranDrawKyrgyzstan
2-0 @ 11.53% (0.33 0.33)
1-0 @ 11.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.9% (0.42 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.138 0.14)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.314 0.31)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.169 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 65.26%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.13%
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.274 -0.27)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.274 -0.27)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Hong Kong 2-4 Iran
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Turkmenistan 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iran 5-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iran 2-3 Qatar
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Iran 2-1 Japan
Saturday, February 3 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Oman 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-1 Malaysia
Thursday, June 6 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 5-1 Chinese Taipei
Tuesday, March 26 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Chinese Taipei 0-2 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, March 21 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-1 Oman
Thursday, January 25 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 0-2 Saudi Arabia
Sunday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup


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