SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
34.72% ( -0.06) | 24.35% ( 0.15) | 40.93% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.12% ( -0.71) | 42.88% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.71% ( -0.71) | 65.28% ( 0.71) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( -0.36) | 24.24% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% ( -0.52) | 58.6% ( 0.52) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( -0.35) | 21.06% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% ( -0.55) | 53.86% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.93% |
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