SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong AZ |
27.01% ( 0.01) | 20.25% ( 0.03) | 52.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 70.75% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.2% ( -0.15) | 26.79% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.19) | 47.23% ( 0.19) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.07) | 20.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -0.12) | 53.39% ( 0.11) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.28% ( -0.06) | 10.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.35% ( -0.13) | 34.64% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.22% 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.01% | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.74% |
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