SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Nuremberg |
48.94% ( -0.18) | 21.89% ( 0.1) | 29.17% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 66.23% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.65% ( -0.43) | 33.35% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.87% ( -0.49) | 55.12% ( 0.49) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( -0.22) | 14.13% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.23% ( -0.42) | 41.77% ( 0.42) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( -0.17) | 22.87% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( -0.25) | 56.61% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.68% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.17% |
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