Although St Johnstone have enjoyed a good run of results and performed well in their defeat to Aberdeen, Kilmarnock will be strong favourites for a victory, driven by an ambition of playing in the Championship round for the second consecutive year, and we believe the hosts will secure the win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.01) 
