Goals at both ends are to be expected on Friday as the net has ripped four times on average in the last six meetings between these two teams.
Bremen got the better of Koln five months ago and their recent away form bodes well heading to North Rhine-Westphalia, but we believe that the resurgent hosts will do enough to claim a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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