SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 89.6%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 2.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 4-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (1.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Larne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Newry City AFC |
89.6% ( -0.04) | 7.81% ( 0.03) | 2.59% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 33.63% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.04) | 29.81% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.03% ( -0.05) | 50.97% ( 0.05) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.9% ( -0.01) | 4.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.81% ( -0.04) | 17.19% ( 0.04) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.07% ( 0.06) | 64.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.03% ( 0.03) | 92.97% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 3-0 @ 14.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0)6-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 4.01% Total : 89.6% | 1-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 7.81% | 0-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 2.59% |
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