SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
36.12% ( 0.5) | 27.37% ( 0.11) | 36.5% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.14% ( -0.43) | 55.85% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.35) | 76.97% ( 0.35) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( 0.1) | 29.6% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( 0.12) | 65.63% ( -0.12) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% ( -0.58) | 29.36% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% ( -0.71) | 65.34% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.12% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.5% |
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