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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Danubio |
39.54% ( 0) | 29.03% ( -0.01) | 31.42% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.63% ( 0.02) | 62.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.99% ( 0.02) | 82% ( -0.02) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( 0.01) | 30.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.98% ( 0.01) | 67.02% ( -0.02) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( 0.01) | 36.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% ( 0.01) | 72.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4% ( 0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.02% | 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 31.42% |
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