SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Sochi |
60.05% ( -0.24) | 23.13% ( 0.12) | 16.81% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.76% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.23% ( -0.25) | 52.77% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.6% ( -0.21) | 74.4% ( 0.21) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( -0.17) | 17.23% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.47% ( -0.31) | 47.53% ( 0.31) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.29% ( 0.02) | 44.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.3% ( 0.01) | 80.7% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 60.05% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.81% |
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