SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
72.2% ( -0.41) | 16.36% ( 0.46) | 11.44% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( -2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.54% ( -2.58) | 34.45% ( 2.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.62% ( -2.96) | 56.38% ( 2.96) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.66% ( -0.71) | 8.33% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.95% ( -1.79) | 29.04% ( 1.79) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.95% ( -1.89) | 41.05% ( 1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.4% ( -1.73) | 77.59% ( 1.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.26)1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.82)3-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.26)5-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.25)6-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.16)6-1 @ 1% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.01% Total : 72.19% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.44)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.36% | 1-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.42% Total : 11.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
