SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
59.14% ( 0.66) | 20.9% ( -0.15) | 19.96% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.61% ( -0.06) | 38.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.33% ( -0.07) | 60.67% ( 0.07) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.3% ( 0.17) | 12.7% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.09% ( 0.35) | 38.91% ( -0.35) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( -0.53) | 32.7% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( -0.6) | 69.26% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.82% Total : 59.14% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.96% |
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