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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
44.33% ( -0.05) | 23.37% ( -0.03) | 32.3% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 62.57% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( 0.16) | 38.91% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( 0.16) | 61.23% ( -0.16) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( 0.04) | 17.94% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% ( 0.07) | 48.76% ( -0.07) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( 0.12) | 23.75% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.11% ( 0.17) | 57.89% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.3% |
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