SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
58.66% ( -0.28) | 23.01% ( 0.1) | 18.33% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.91% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( -0.14) | 50.04% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( -0.13) | 72.01% ( 0.13) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( -0.15) | 16.75% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.32% ( -0.27) | 46.68% ( 0.27) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.76% ( 0.13) | 41.24% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.23% ( 0.11) | 77.77% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.65% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.33% |
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