SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
63.96% ( 0.07) | 20.25% ( 0.03) | 15.79% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.3) | 42.56% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.3) | 64.96% ( 0.3) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.38% ( -0.07) | 12.62% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.26% ( -0.15) | 38.74% ( 0.15) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.11% ( -0.3) | 39.89% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.45% ( -0.28) | 76.55% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.25% | 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.79% |
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